Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.482666 3.903309 4.359348 4.891240 5.495516 6.161762 6.953459
2024-10-06 3.007895 3.596039 4.280331 5.138365 6.189763 7.441502 9.052682
2024-10-13 2.592857 3.253609 4.064433 5.138908 6.534765 8.299452 10.719476
2024-10-20 2.276125 2.969850 3.858660 5.090959 6.770981 9.003954 12.234223
2024-10-27 1.947633 2.623353 3.520186 4.810831 6.642368 9.180967 13.023065
2024-11-03 1.779905 2.468624 3.412977 4.819930 6.892856 9.881879 14.604197
2024-11-10 1.674761 2.386488 3.392317 4.940125 7.302380 10.838327 16.658168
2024-11-17 1.560609 2.278345 3.320559 4.971909 7.574200 11.604870 18.493946
2024-11-24 1.460871 2.180969 3.253206 4.998965 7.833723 12.368005 20.399872
2024-12-01 1.371828 2.091084 3.187445 5.018567 8.077067 13.120583 22.364218
2024-12-08 1.262789 1.960704 3.046910 4.902828 8.082235 13.471130 23.657853
2024-12-15 1.184603 1.872676 2.965563 4.875062 8.228910 14.070197 25.457342
2024-12-22 1.109585 1.785975 2.882471 4.841913 8.371579 14.691641 27.406687
2024-12-29 1.087768 1.785398 2.941707 5.059463 8.981532 16.221784 31.306394
2025-01-05 1.028223 1.716269 2.878725 5.053556 9.179630 17.002391 33.809663
2025-01-12 0.967162 1.639825 2.796780 5.004947 9.290418 17.622863 36.056337
2025-01-19 0.876356 1.504885 2.601765 4.729667 8.936880 17.288652 36.217025
2025-01-26 0.835879 1.456827 2.559038 4.738513 9.142981 18.103151 39.001406
2025-02-02 0.813879 1.440513 2.572660 4.856449 9.578830 19.436891 43.138812
2025-02-09 0.781638 1.402993 2.543851 4.887635 9.837314 20.418870 46.587878
2025-02-16 0.751094 1.366522 2.514229 4.914186 10.087445 21.407123 50.187096
2025-02-23 0.721768 1.330375 2.482535 4.933421 10.322665 22.385285 53.897216
2025-03-02 0.679126 1.265828 2.390936 4.819841 10.253396 22.656630 55.833101